I will statistically backtest your trading strategy against a random null

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Strategy Backtesting and Validation in Python, Pine Script v6 Developer

I backtest trading strategies with real statistics (Python): permutation tests against random nulls, out-of-sample splits, and cost modeling on 16 years of 1-minute futures data. Find out if your edge...
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Most backtests only ask "did these rules make money on this history." That bar is far too low. Random entries clear it constantly, and so do rules that quietly peek at future data or just ride the market's drift. I test strategies the way quant researchers do: against a matched random null.


What you get:

- Your rules coded into a reproducible Python backtest

- Monte Carlo permutation testing: does your strategy beat random entries with the same trade frequency and holding time? (the Timothy Masters method)

- Out-of-sample split and parameter sweep, so you know it is not one magic setting

- Realistic commissions and slippage modeled, where most retail edges quietly die

- For prop traders: Monte Carlo of your stats against your firm's trailing-drawdown rules, turned into a pass or bust probability

- A plain-English written report of everything above


Fair warning: most strategies fail this test. That is the value. You find out for a few hundred dollars instead of a few blown accounts. I report what the statistics say, not what you hope to hear. This is research and education, not financial advice.


Plattform:

TradingView

Prop-Firma

NinjaTrader

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